Skip to main content
Skip to main content
Back to Grand Rounds
Grand RoundsWeekly Evidence Brief

Rheumatology

Edition

30-Second Takeaway

  • PRO-based DAS prediction can safely support remote RA treat-to-target monitoring.
  • Antimitochondrial antibodies refine SLE risk stratification for nephritis, vascular events, and death.
  • Long-term nintedanib stabilizes SARD-ILD progressive fibrosis and may improve ILD-related survival.

Week ending December 20, 2025

Data-driven stratification and real-world insights to fine-tune inflammatory rheumatic disease care

PRO-based model accurately predicts DAS for remote RA treat-to-target

ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASESDec 19, 2025

A LASSO-based model using age, sex, disease duration, VAS general health, VAS pain, and 7 HAQ-DI items predicted DAS in RA visits. Across derivation, internal, and external cohorts, AUC-ROC for detecting active disease (DAS>2.4) was 0.89, 0.89, and 0.82, respectively. For remission (DAS<1.6), AUC-ROC values were 0.86, 0.85, and 0.82, indicating strong discrimination without joint counts or labs. Threshold-specific test characteristics allow clinicians to favor sensitivity for flare detection or specificity to limit unnecessary interventions.

Antimitochondrial antibodies predict nephritis, vascular events, and death in SLE

ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASESDec 14, 2025

In 1114 inception SLE patients, antiwhole mitochondria, antimitochondrial DNA, and antimitochondrial RNA antibodies were all higher than in healthy individuals. Most recent antimitochondrial DNA and RNA antibody levels independently predicted nephritis, with adjusted hazard ratios about 1.6 per SD increase. Baseline antiwhole mitochondria predicted early mortality, while recent antimitochondrial DNA remained associated with mortality throughout follow-up. AmtRNA showed stronger associations with arterial vascular events in females, suggesting sex-specific prognostic information. Serial AMA measurement could refine risk stratification and monitoring intensity for nephritis, arterial events, and death.

Continuing nintedanib beyond 12 months benefits SARD-related progressive pulmonary fibrosis

SEMINARS IN ARTHRITIS AND RHEUMATISMDec 16, 2025

This cohort included 65 SARD-ILD patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis, mainly systemic sclerosis, idiopathic inflammatory myopathies, and RA. Before nintedanib, percent predicted FVC declined similarly in eventual continuation and discontinuation groups, indicating comparable pre-treatment trajectories. After 12 months, continuation was associated with improved FVC and greater KL-6 reductions compared with early discontinuation. ILD-related survival was significantly better in the continuation group, suggesting a survival advantage with longer treatment. These data support maintaining nintedanib beyond 12 months in tolerating SARD-ILD patients to stabilize lung function and outcomes.

Fatigue remains high and stable in inflammatory rheumatic diseases despite improved inflammation

SEMINARS IN ARTHRITIS AND RHEUMATISMDec 19, 2025

Using a national database (~9300 patients annually), fatigue was assessed in arthritides, spondyloarthritides, connective tissue diseases, and vasculitides from 2007–2023. Between 55% and 67% of patients reported fatigue, with severe fatigue in up to 26%, particularly in systemic sclerosis. Over 17 years, CRP, tender joints, physician global scores, and employment improved substantially, yet mean fatigue scores remained unchanged. Trajectory analysis showed 23% with persistently high and 24% with worsening fatigue, driven more by emotional, functional, coping, and sleep factors than inflammation.

References

Numbered in order of appearance. Click any reference to view details.

Additional Reads

Optional additional studies from this edition.

Edition context

Clinical signal

  • Remote prediction models and PROs can triage RA visits and enable telehealth treat-to-target workflows.
  • Serologic and multiomics biomarkers offer noninvasive tools for diagnosis, risk stratification, and mechanistic endotyping.
  • Treatment duration, dose intensity, and structural outcomes must be considered alongside symptomatic control.